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GoLearn Forex Analysis 17/12/2009

Posted by on December 17, 2009 | No comments

Is the CAD Headed for a Breakout?  By GoLearn Forex

USD/CAD:

The Canadian Dollar from a technical standpoint is giving every indication it is going to breakout.   Price has been consolidating for several weeks.  You can see more clearly the consolidation in the Chart below depicted by the orange triangle.

Typically we draw a triangle where only one side represents the slope.  However, the triangle drawn below is indicative of investor’s uncertainty with regards to the CAD.  The Canadian economy is holding strong.  The CAD is a commodity currency and will rise and fall as commodity prices rise and fall (in particular Oil).  The Dollar has been rallying which should mean a weaker Loonie, but this rally stems from positive U.S economic data.  The U.S economy and that of their northern neighbor are linked to a certain extent as they feed off of one another.  Therefore, positive U.S data should also be good for the CAD.  Therein lies the conflict and thus you have a dual sided sloping triangle.

CAD1612

The CAD is currently trading above its 50 day MA.  Similar to the AUD and NZD it failed to breach the 100 day MA in spite of the Dollar rally.  As the CAD wedges itself into the triangle we are looking for the following to occur in order to trip an entry signal.  If the Loonie produces a candle south of the 50 day MA and south of the bottom slope of the triangle then look to enter a Long CAD position.  Alternatively, if the CAD produces a candle body north up the upper slope of the triangle and the 100 day MA then enter a Short CAD position.  Lastly, if a Short CAD signal triggers we see a near term take profit level at 1.0880 coinciding with the Fibonacci 23.6% Retrace level.  We view this level as strong point of resistance.

Oil Takes Off by GoLearn Forex

The FOMC meeting came and went without stirring the waters.  In the Euro-zone and London, Equity Markets finished their sessions in positive territory ahead of the highly anticipated U.S FED rate decision.  The accompanying FOMC statement was intentionally left mostly unchanged so as not to roil markets. It served its purpose well as the DJIA finished the day off slightly lower by 10.88 points to close at 10,441.12 while the tech heavy NASDAQ closed up 5.86 points to 2,206.91.

In the Currency Markets the Dollar followed Equity Markets finishing the session nearly flat against its G-7 counterparts.  The AUD gave up .61% still reeling from CB comments that took on a more dovish tone in regards to any near term future rate hikes.

Oil soared to 73.54 during intra-day trading before leveling off the day at 72.66, a gain of $1.97.  Gold climbed $12.70 an ounce to 1,137.90.  On the Agricultural front Soybeans, Cotton and Sugar continued to rally while Copper, Wheat and Corn declined on Dollar strength.

On the economic data docket for today we have the BOJ rate decision to be announced, although no change is expected.  In the U.K, Retails Sales are set to be released while in Canada CPI data will hit the wire.  In the U.S, Jobless Claims will print as will the measure of Leading Indicators and the Philadelphia FED survey.

Upcoming Forex Events for December 17, 2009

GBP  Retail Sales (MoM) Forecast  0.50%  Previous  0.40%

CAD  Core CPI (MoM) Forecast  0.10%  Previous  0.10%

USD Initial Jobless Claims Forecast    470.00K  Previous  474.00K

JPY Interest Rate Decision  Forecast  0.10%  Previous  0.10%

Analysis by http://www.golearnforex.net

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Most important swiftness in the worlds biggest trading market known as FOREX Market

Posted by on December 17, 2009 | No comments

The first and the foremost important thing which makes an appearance into your brain at that time when you will be making a consideration about the FOREX market are really very crucial. The first impression that is set is everyone’s mind after taking a look of this particular trading market is that it is the busiest and devastating of all the other trading markets of the world.

Most of the international trading market of exchange has decently become the integral part of the national Government, various industrial as well as of the financial banks that deals with savings. At this particular moment, let us consolidate all our concentration over those people who are always ready to make some or the other sort of close discussion about this big world of FOREX market. And these are the people who make a fanatical inspection about all the offers of trading that comes in the way of trading at any point of time; it means offers can appear round the clock all through the days of calendar. Mostly all the individual carry out the process of making a transaction by buying or selling various kinds of deals and should actually finish them in a really very successful way on the definite period of time.

There is one more type of hypothesis about this trading market and that the exchange markets that are actually present out of the country keeps on rotating from one day to another. There has always been a change in the monetary value of dollar and they are also the ones that are responsible for including all the resources of quite a large number of states.

In this particular article, we are going to discuss about some of the crucial as well as really important terms that are generally put into use in order to make a FOREX trade. In order To obtain some sort of additional information, we are now going to discuss about some of the primary factors that are associated with a particular FOREX trade. These terms are really important and should be known by each and every trader in order to make a successful kind of trading. In order to be able to generate really big profits, you and every other trader should have a brief idea about them.

The first one that we need to discuss is Currency – Without any doubt, this is believed to be the most basic as well as primary resource that is being required for any type of effective trading.

World’s largest trading market known as FOREX Market – This is absolutely the significant online exchange negotiator that takes place at each and every corner of the globe. It is the one that influence economy of a country.

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Money management in Forex trading

Posted by on December 17, 2009 | No comments

Forex trading market as like Stock market or commodity markets is a potential market for making money. It is an open secret now. In fact Forex trading can reap more profits in comparatively less amount of time. Earlier the Forex trading was said to be a monopoly of rich and highly rich people. But today anybody can see that middle class or working class also have a significant participation in this business. Novice Forex traders or beginners can also enter this business. The only thing which they should follow is that a good conceptual and practical knowledge of this trading. One should have a demo account and a feel of this trading before entering into this business. This shall avoid the mistakes and minimise the risks associated.

Money management is an important part in Forex trading. This can help one to make profits and minimise the losses. Some people follow this money management vaguely. But then they arrive at some mistakes. Let us have a look on these mistakes so that one can avoid them.

There is a more hype created on day trading. But one should understand that it is not easy to be successful in day trading. The basic problem in going for day trading is that it has a short time frame. In fact day trading in Forex business has many risks as the daily volatility is random over here. Thus a person is likely to lose his money. In any way the risks in Forex trading are quiet significant. One should not increase them more by going with day trading.

One should opt for a good pair of currencies. One should study the Forex trading properly for making such choices.  The currency pairs chosen and money invested in trading are the two crucial things in anybody’s success. If a person wisely uses these two then he is assured of the success. One should not be lazy in making his money grow.

One should know where to stop in this Forex trading. It can be profitable. Some Forex traders limit early so that they can avoid the risk. One should try and understand the trends and study them to know the stops. One should know how to locate the opportunity and he can receive his profits. One should also watch for a big trend.

One should have a strong sense of predictability and analysis. The analytical skills play an important role in this business. A Forex trader is required to analyse the market and place his move accordingly. He should be able to predict the prices of the currencies and plan the strategies as well. It is not possible to foretell the direction and extent of the price change. But important thing is that one should try to know these things with the help of Forex charts and other Forex indicators.

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